Last June 30 was the memorial day of dispersing protesters by fatal force last year sitting in at the Armed Forces Headquarters in Khartoum.
Millions took out to streets on the occasion to pressure on the transitional government to declare the findings of investigations. They also called for urgent correction to the revolution following persistent deterioration in the standard of living and hyper inflation.
I think the present TG failed due to the improper criteria that they have pursued in nominating ministers – by giving priority to representing those who belong to the Alliance who had organized the demonstrations (the Forces of Change and Freedom). Hence, their actual performance in the State apparatus is very poor.
I am one of the few who have been criticizing them for mismanagement.
I expect that the Prime Minister, Abdallha Hamdok, is to declare corrective measures – as he had pledged in an address he made one day prior to the occasion. The matter is further complicated by the fact that the Alliance – who is politically baking the civil cabinet – is witnessing disagreements particularly in one of its major components, the Association of the Professionals, which is undergoing split. One faction accused the communists in the Association of trying to “kidnap” the revolution.
Whatever the causes of schism, the bitter fact is that is that such a situation might weaken this leading body of the revolution vis-à-vis a very poor performance – along with many issues are hanging (peace talks, deterioration in the standard of living, no trials are completed with regard to the detained leaders of the defunct regime, civil governors are not yet nominated – the 18 states are still run by military generals who are mostly thought to be an extension to Al-Beshir’s Islamist regime, ect).
Furthermore, till now no decisive step has been taken towards arranging for elections, drafting a new constitution or even working out a plan for a population census t – a vital prerequisite for elections.
If issues and looming crises are not to be properly tackled within few weeks, one may expect that the army may step in to declare a technocratic cabinet to run the transitional period and organize elections as soon as possible (if) no corrective measures are taken by the Prime Minister, Abdallah Hamdok, who pledged to do that within two weeks.
If that “option” is adopted by the army, it will not be a full-fledged coup d’etat, but rather a one-year Transitional Military Council, like that of 1985 – to be protected by the army. However, military officers may not be accepted by the revolutionaries as well as by the international community.